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BlackRock Cautions Crypto Investors: 'Complete Losses' Possible

Global investment management company BlackRock says it envisions a more pervasive role for cryptocurrencies in the future, and that blockchain has promise but it is not without obstacles.

The positive, yet cautious remarks were part of the firm’s Global Weekly Commentary published on Monday by global chief investment strategist Richard Turnill.

“We see cryptocurrencies potentially becoming more widely used in the future as the market matures,” the commentary reads. “Yet for now we believe they should only be considered by those who can stomach potentially complete losses. Similarly, blockchain needs to overcome significant hurdles to reach its promising future.”

Though cryptocurrencies have promise, they remain too volatile, unregulated and risky to be integrated into mainstream investment portfolios right now, Turnhill wrote, explaining:

“The volatility of the cryptocurrencies makes the gyrations in the U.S. equity market during the global financial crisis almost look placid.”

Likewise, the commentary acknowledged blockchain’s “disruptive potential” for industries “from logistics and pharmaceuticals to financial service,” but said its adoption would not be seamless and must involve regulators and central bankers.

“Take the financial industry,” Turnill explained, noting that “a blockchain-based, single shared financial database could eliminate inefficiencies and risks associated with human processes, but adoption at scale would require a massive shift in software development and a well-constructed maintenance model.”

This is not the first time BlackRock or Turnill have chimed in on the crypto conversation.

Turnill previously called cryptocurrency markets “scary” and a bubble, and argued that there is no way to assess a “fair value” for bitcoin or any other coins.

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink struck a different tone last fall, however, and endorsed the potential of cryptocurrencies, calling himself “a big believer” in their prospects.

BlackRock’s commentary suggests it is unlikely to move on cryptocurrency soon, and it has already previously dismissed the idea of a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. Nonetheless, its future actions remain to be seen. “The market is evolving,” Turnill said.

Blackrock headquarters image via Shutterstock

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May, Lagarde, Mnuchin: World Leaders Are Talking Crypto at Davos

World leaders have struck a cautionary tone on cryptocurrencies in statements made during the World Economic Forum (WEF) event in Davos, Switzerland.

From the Prime Minister of the U.K. to the Treasury Secretary of the U.S., the event has seen a number of notable figures make remarks on both cryptocurrencies like bitcoin as well as blockchain technology as a whole. As reported yesterday, notable finance figures including Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein have already weighed in on the topic, suggesting that cryptocurrencies are quietly emerging as a major area of discussion at the gathering of the global elite.

For example, Steven Mnuchin, who leads the U.S. Treasury Department, remarked on one panel that “illicit use” of cryptocurrencies is a major concern for American regulators.

“My number-one focus on cryptocurrencies, whether that be digital currencies or bitcoin or other things, is that we want to make sure that they’re not used for illicit activities,” Mnuchin remarked, according to a report from Reuters.

Similarly, fellow panelist and International Monetary Fund head Christine Lagarde said bitcoin’s anonymity enables the movement of hidden funds.

“The anonymity and lack of transparency and the way in which it conceals and protects money laundering and financing of terrorism, is just unacceptable. It needs to be taken into account but then there will be innovations coming out of these movements,” Lagarde, a former finance minister of France, was quoted as saying.

Lagarde predicted that national governments are likely to further regulate cryptocurrencies to prevent these use cases. Perhaps proving Largarde’s point, U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May told Bloomberg that cryptocurrencies should be looked at due to how they are used “particularly by criminals.”

Perhaps most significantly, French President Emmanuel Macron called for an international approach to regulating cryptocurrencies, saying “we need to establish a global contract for global investment.”

Weighing the impact

Others at Davos commented specifically on the exact economic impact of cryptocurrencies today, with comments drawn from finance watchdogs from Asia and Europe, among other areas.

China’s securities regulator vice-chairman, Fang Xinghai, said during a panel that it is unclear what impact bitcoin would have on the economy.

Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz echoed those remarks, adding that he believes there would be little impact on the economy if the cryptocurrency market were to crash.

He went on to caution against investing in cryptocurrencies, saying:

“When we had the tech wreck, that was a much more widespread exposure. And the fact it barely had [a] perceptible effect on the real economy because it was not a stock market crash but just a segment of the stock market. But it was highly speculative, there was all kinds of bubbles there.”

The British Chancellor of the Exchequer, Philip Hammond, argued in turn that bitcoin has the potential to grow to a point where it would have a more significant impact.

He called for further regulations “before the amount of outstanding bitcoin becomes large enough to be systemically important to in the global economy,” predicting that it would reach that point “soon.”

Bullish on blockchain

Despite their concerns about cryptocurrencies, world leaders and regulators at Davos remarked positively about blockchain as a technology.

Poloz, for example, called it “a true piece of genius,” adding that he expects it to be applied to different aspects of the economy.

“The reason that it has such appeal in the case of bitcoin is it gives you finality of settlement that eventually grinds through the distributed ledger and therefore you trust that,” he remarked, according to CNBC, on the topic of a central bank-issued digital currency. “Whereas the central bank, if the Bank of Canada, were to issue a digital currency, well you already trust the Canadian dollar, and so you don’t need a distributed ledger in order to believe you just received final payment in your digital wallet.”

Lagarde called the technology “fascinating,” noting its censorship-resistant characteristics, among others.

She also suggested that other innovations are likely to emerge from the blockchain space, cautioning that regulators will need to monitor such developments over time, saying during the panel:

“…there will be new things and innovations coming out of this movement, and we just need to keep them under our watch.”

Image Credit: Drop of Light / Shutterstock.com

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BlackRock CEO Larry Fink Is a 'Big Believer' in Cryptocurrency

The CEO of the world’s largest asset manager sees “huge opportunities” for cryptocurrencies – but argues that work needs to be done before they become more widely accepted.

In a new interview with Bloomberg TV, BlackRock chief Larry Fink said that he’s a “big believer”, but that the current market today is primarily focused on speculation. His comments come months after the firm’s chief strategist said that, to him, the cryptocurrency market charts at the time looked “pretty scary.”

Fink said in the interview:

“Related to cryptocurrencies, I’m a big believer in the potential of what a cryptocurrency can do. You see huge opportunities, but what we’re talking about today, it’s much more of a speculative platform, people are speculating on it.”

Fink added that, thus far, his firm hasn’t seen much interest from clients beyond “some speculative stuff” – a notable comment given that firms like Goldman Sachs are reportedly eyeing new trading services around cryptocurrencies.

“We’re being asked that question but it’s more of a venture capital type of interchange, but we’re not hearing clients say ‘we want to use this as an asset class’,” he said.

And while cryptocurrencies’ speculative nature is an issue for him, Fink argued their most important problem is that they are being utilized to launder money.

“As I said, it’s much more of a speculative platform for Asia, and it’s heavily used for money laundering,” Fink told Bloomberg.

Image via Bloomberg/YouTube

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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.