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Bitcoin (BTC) Stable At $3,400: Analyst Compares Crypto With Dotcom Bubble

Bitcoin Stable At $3,400, Altcoins In Similar Position 

Interestingly, after a multi-week bout of lower lows, the crypto market at large stabilized on Tuesday and Wednesday, as Bitcoin (BTC) found itself trading in a tight range between $3,300 and $3,500. Since Ethereum World News’ previous market update, released not 24 hours ago, the aggregate market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies has barely budged, up by $1.4 billion (~1.2%) to $111.39 billion in comparison to yesterday’s $109.9 billion.

Like crypto asset values, volumes posted by exchanges have begun to slow, with 24-hour volumes per Live Coin Watch amounting to $5.9 billion, down $1 billion from the $6.9 billion tallied by the platform yesterday. CoinMarketCap statistics have echoed the dissipation of volume, as its 24-hour volume statistic has fallen from $13 billion to $11 billion, where it remains now.

Although BTC underwent a small uptick on Tuesday night/Wednesday morning, with the asset moving as high as $3,460 on Coinbase, Bitcoin has been relatively laid back, failing to break out or fall throughout any key levels of support or resistance. Many eyes are looking to BTC’s year-to-date lows, and the resistance situated at $4,000 as levels of interest.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin has found itself at $3,380 on Coinbase and $3,440 as a global average, making it clear that the asset has found a semblance of stability in the $3,400 range. BTC is currently 0.57% in the past 24 hours.

XRP, Ethereum (ETH), and Litecoin (LTC) followed BTC with precision over the past day, posting gains that were all under a mere 1%. Notable outliers included EOS, which posted a 4.13% gain after a dismal week, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Bitcoin SV (BSV) — as the two both lost 2% — and Tezos (XTZ), as the asset surged by 15.42% presumably due to the fact that Huobi Global announced support for the up-and-coming network.

Analyst Compares Crypto To Nasdaq Boom (And Bust)

Speaking with MarketWatch’s William Watts, the outlet’s deputy markets editor, Russ Mould, an investment director at British investment platform AJ Bell, drew lines between the Dotcom boom at the turn of millennia to 2017/2018’s crypto boom & bust.

Mould claimed that crypto’s performance throughout 2018 “looks like many that we’ve seen before across a wide range of asset classes,” adding that the status of the market today propagates “vicious bear traps,” sending crypto “HODLers” even further into the ground. He explained that the Nasdaq, in the midst of its collapse in 2003, tried to break out multiple times, but failed miserably — not too different than Bitcoin’s stints at $10,000, $6,200, and $3,500 today.

Mould isn’t the only analyst to make such connections between two of history’s largest bubbles. In a post titled, “What Bear Markets Look Like,” Twitter angel investor Fred Wilson, who heads Union Square Ventures, noted that just like technology stocks in 2002/2003, cryptocurrencies have posted a more than 80% loss in a year’s time.

The prominent investor added that cryptocurrencies, even BTC, could head lower from here. Giving his statement some rationale, Wilson explained that once Amazon (AMAZ) declined to 20 percent of its all-time high, the then-startup saw its public valuation experience another 50 percent haircut, summating to a jaw-dropping 90 percent loss.

AMAZ’s debacle in the early 2000s may have been nothing but a blip on its multi-decade chart, but Wilson, a Bitcoin believer himself, is visualizing how cryptocurrencies could fall further, even while they have ground-breaking potential and seemingly endless upside.

Still, Wilson, a legendary venture capitalist, ended his aforementioned blog post with an optimistic tone, writing:

“I think some crypto asset (and possibly a number of crypto assets) will have a price chart like Amazon’s current one in 18 years. But we will have to do what Amazon did, hunker down and build value and survive, for quite a while to get there. And I think things will get worse before they get better.”

Title Image Courtesy of Alejandro Alvarez on Unsplash

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Ripple Price Analysis: XRP/USD Accumulating at 30 cents, Ripple Solutions not a Proof of Concept

Latest Ripple News

The just concluded Impact Fintech 2018 was yet another platform for Ripple officials to reiterate the vision-mission statement of their company: that of providing simple, cheap and yet effective cross-border settlement solutions. To execute this objective, the company has rolled out xVia, xRapid and xCurrent. The latter received an update but against expectations, uptake has been slow with a handful of banks updating but failing to adopt xRapid—the solution that leverage XRP as an on-demand liquidity tool. By incorporating XRP in their transactions, banks can free up funds which could otherwise be used in providing liquidity.

Read: Winklevoss Twins Unfazed Amid Crypto Winter, Launches Gemini Mobile

During the conference, Ross D’Arcy, the Sales Director of Ripple said the company is actively using their options to solve real user cases and are not in a Proof of Concept (POC) stage or in science experiment. He went ahead and said centralized banks are not institutions to be trusted as they are opaque in their operations and full of restrictions that needs to be fulfilled before a transaction is settled.

On the other hand, with Ripple funds can be sent instantaneously without the need of holding the destination fiat currency. With each and every bank that plugs in to the network, Ripple business model of collaboration is achieved and their goal of creating this internet of value is slowly becoming a reality.

XRP/USD Price Analysis

XRP/USD Price Analysis

With each and every implementation and partnership, Ripple fundamentals appear positive. However, we need more banks to utilize xRapid in their operations. This will no doubt help lift prices from current levels. XRP is down 1.5 percent at the time of press but stable in lower time frames. While bears are in control, sellers are yet to press lower and reverse Sep 2018 gains—and this is bullish.

Trend: Bearish, Ranging

Aside from series of higher highs of trend defining Sep, XRP/USD has been trending lower in the last two months. This has seen XRP drop 90 percent from Sep highs and from the last two weeks, there is risk of further declines more so if prices fail to expand above 40 cents—our resistance line previous support.

Volumes: Bullish

Comparisons can’t be made between volumes of the last few weeks and those of Sep. There is a great disparity meaning market activity is tapering as investors, traders and participants feel the sting. Nonetheless, a standout in the last few days is Dec 8, 2300HRs bull bar—23 million versus 9 million average. Notice that price action of the last three days is still within its high low. Its 4 cents trade range shall define our trade triggers and since we are net bullish, we expect gains above 33 cents. This shall ignite buyers aiming at 40 cents and higher by the end of the year.

Candlestick Formation: Bear Breakout, Re-test phase

Losses of Dec 6 means XRP/USD is trading within a bear breakout pattern. For bulls to reign then there must be gains above 33 cents. Otherwise, rejection of higher highs past 33 cents—our minor liquidation line, could see prices tumble back in a retest phase below 29 cents. This in turn could trigger another wave of sells driving XRP prices to 25 cents or lower.

Conclusion

Overly, we retain a bullish overview because bears are yet to reverse Sep surges. As such, our XRP/USD price analysis will be as follows:

Buy: 33 cents

Stop: 31 cents

First Target: 40 cents

All charts courtesy of Trading View.

This is not Investment Advice. Do you own Research.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Falls To $3,400, Crypto Short Sellers On The Rise

Bitcoin Fails To Breakout, BTC Stumbles To $3,400  — Altcoins Follow Suit

After days of unrest in the industry, and the perpetuation of a seemingly endless downtrend, the crypto market at large has failed to undergo a bullish breakout, with Bitcoin (BTC) continuing to falter at $3,400. Since Ethereum World News’ market update posted on Monday, the aggregate value of all cryptocurrencies has fallen to $109 billion, down 1.8% from the day prior. Trading volumes are slightly up over Monday, up by $0.2 billion to $6.9 billion adjusted ($13.2 billion unadjusted) in daily volumes.

The past day has seen BTC undergo a rapid sell-off in the morning, catalyzing a multi-hour lull that saw the asset hang around the $3,400 price level, where it remains at the time of writing.

At the time of press, BTC, down 1.51% in the past 24 hours, has found itself trading at $3,430 a piece, and backed by a relatively mere $4.7 billion in daily volumes.

As is normally the case, altcoins followed suit in this recent sell-off, with prominent crypto assets posting losses in the low-single-digits (percentage-wise). XRP, for instance, is down 0.5% in the past 24 hours, slightly beating the performance of BTC. On the other hand, Stellar Lumens (XLM), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Litecoin (LTC), and Monero (XMR) have underperformed the foremost asset in this industry, posting losses that range between 2% and 4%.

Crypto Short Sellers Bolster Bearish Positions 

Amid this continued crypto market sell-off, reports have indicated that short sellers, bears, in other words, have begun to bolster their short-side positions. More specifically, according to data compiled by DailyFX, routed by MarketWatch’s Aaron Hankin, cryptocurrency traders have begun to scale back on their open BTC holdings. At the same time, as aforementioned, speculators have accentuated their continual bearish sentiment by keeping their shorts open.

Nancy Pakbaz, an analyst at the Chicago, Illinois-based financial institution was quoted as saying on the matter:

Retail trader data shows 70.1% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 2.35 to 1. The percentage of traders net-long is now its lowest since Nov. 28 when bitcoin traded near $4,200.66.

Although Pakbaz’s comment, which indicates that a multitude of investors are still “net-long” on BTC, isn’t bearish in and of itself, the DailyFX representative added that the “number of traders net-short is 14% in comparison to Monday,” adding that this same statistic is up 21.4% since last week.

This clearly indicates that short-term speculators are bracing for another bout of capitulation — the umpteenth one in a month’s time.

Yet, as seen by the action seen in Bitcoin price throughout its relatively short history, the growing number of shorts could actually be bullish(ish), as a so-called “short squeeze” could occur. Such a move should catalyze a multi-percent move higher for BTC, but it remains to be seen whether a squeeze is in crypto’s cards.

MarketWatch’s in-house crypto reporter also drew attention to an inquiry regarding Ethereum (ETH) from the U.S. Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). In a statement, the prominent American financial regulator claimed that it was seeking the public’s opinion on digital currencies, most notably Ethereum (ETH). In a public release, the somewhat crypto-friendly body wrote:

The RFI [Request For Information] also seeks to understand similarities and distinctions between Ether and bitcoin, as well as Ether-specific opportunities, challenges, and risks.

It is believed that the entity is seeking feedback to precede its ruling on an Ether-backed vehicle, such as purported Ethereum futures contracts backed by ErisX, CBOE, and potentially Nasdaq, who recently its intention to bring “crypto 2.0 futures” to market. Interestingly, a number of crypto commentators recently took to Twitter to allude to the theory that if Ethereum-backed futures, even a non-physical instrument, goes live, the aforementioned blockchain’s native asset may actually fall, due to “rehypothecation” — a common sight in traditional financial industries.

Title Image Courtesy of Marco Verch Via Flickr

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Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH/USD Bullish Above $100, Test of Resolve

Latest Ethereum Price

At spot prices, bears are not only stress testing the dApp ecosystem but putting to test the resolve of investors and all market stake holders. Of course, its a fall from grace to grass, that dip from $1,400 to less than $100 has been damaging for investors, developers and businesses. ConsenSys—with more than 1,000 employees and in present in 30 countries is believed to be burning $100 million supporting staff and projects mostly from Joseph Lubin stash—is feeling the sting.  Days after calling for resilience, the company announced that they will be laying off 13 percent of its staff.

Read: Crypto Startups Going Bankrupt Amidst Market Crash

Aside from that, news has it that even with these low prices, hackers are now targeting unsecured Ethereum wallets and mining rigs. As reported by our team, hackers have been scanning the network for a week now and their main objective is to pick out port 8545—a JSON-RPC interface used by wallets and mining hardware. The interface depends on the user to set up passwords and if left open, then hackers can exploit that opening and siphon funds.

Also Read: Changpeng Zhao Likens Binance Chain To Ethereum, BNB To ETH

On the development front, the decision by developers to agree and fix a date for Constantinople is something very positive and would go a long way in instilling confidence in the ecosystem preventing project migration to rival networks.

ETH/USD Price Analysis

ETH/USD Price Analysis

On a weekly basis, ETH/USD is down 17 percent in the last week and quite stable in the last day and hour. And even as bears dig in, ETH is down in the excess of 85 percent from 2018 peaks and as Fibonacci retracement rules demand, a natural correction is imminent. This is why traders and investors across the board expect prices to bounce back and close above $100 by the end of the week. Once it does, then it is likely that ETH/USD would expand to $130 or higher. If not, falls to $50 or less will be inevitable.

Trend: Bearish, Minor Accumulation

From left to right, the trend is clear. ETH/USD is bearish and oscillating within a tight $17 range with limits at $100 and $83. Unless otherwise there are gains above $100, bears are in control and considering the rate of recent price erosion, we cannot discount the possibility of prices breaking below $83.

Volumes: Increasing, Bullish

As prices range, three bars are a standout: Dec 7, 1900HRs bull bar—321k versus 179k average, Dec 8—2300HRs bull bar—163k versus 134k average and Dec 9—1500HRs bull bar—130k versus 85k average. All these bars confine price action. In real sense, ETH/USD price action is still oscillating within Dec 7 high-low. Therefore, for buyers to be in charge then we must see strong gains above Dec 7 highs at $100 while falls below its lows would trigger a sell off towards $50.

Candlestick Formation: Bear Breakout

Clearly, bears are in charge but at spot prices, prices are in range mode and accumulating. As aforementioned, bears are in control but if bulls gain momentum and thrust prices above $100 then ETH buyers have a chance.

Conclusion

From the above, this is our ETH/USD trade plan:

Buy: $100—Dec 9 Highs

Stops: $85—Dec 8 Lows

Targets: $130, $160

Breaks below $83 invalidates this trade plan.

All charts courtesy of Trading View.

This is not investment Advice. Do your Own Research.

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EOS Price Analysis: Remains In Strong Downtrend Below $2.25

EOS price declined heavily and broke the $2.00 and $1.80 support levels against the US Dollar. Sellers remain in control as long as the price is below $2.25.

Key Talking Points

  • EOS price declined significantly after it settled below the $4.00 support (Data feed of Kraken) against the US Dollar.
  • There is a crucial bearish trend line formed with resistance at $2.20 on the 4-hours chart of the EOS/USD pair.
  • The pair remains sell on rallies as long as there is no close above $2.25.

EOS Price Analysis

During the past few days, there was a steady decline from the $3.50 swing high in EOS price against the US Dollar. The EOS/USD pair broke the $3.00 and $2.00 support levels to enter a major downtrend.

The chart above indicates that EOS price even broke the $1.80 support level and settled below the 100 simple moving average (4-hours). The decline was such that the price traded close to the $1.50 zone and formed a low at $1.52.

Later, the price corrected higher above the $1.60 and $1.80 resistance levels. It also moved above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $3.04 high to $1.52 low.

However, there are many hurdles for buyers near the $2.00 and $2.20 levels. More importantly, there is a crucial bearish trend line formed with resistance at $2.20 on the 4-hours chart of the EOS/USD pair.

Above the trend line, the next main resistance is near $2.25 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $3.04 high to $1.52 low. As long as the price is below the $2.25-2.30 resistance zone, it remains in a strong downtrend.

Above $2.30, the price may perhaps rise towards the $2.50 level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours). On the downside, an initial support is at $1.80, below which EOS price may drop back to $1.50. The overall trend remains bearish unless buyers gain pace above $2.25 in the near term. Similarly, litecoin and ripple are struggling to gain bullish momentum above key resistances.

The market data is provided by TradingView.

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Binance’s Bitcoin (BTC) Trading Share Falters In Crypto Bear Market

Binance’s Bitcoin (BTC) Trading Dominance Dives

Another week, another crypto-centric analytics report from Diar, a leading research unit in the nascent cryptocurrency ecosystem. In the startup’s most recent installment, released on Monday, Diar drew attention to the ever-changing role that Bitcoin (BTC) and that exchanges that support it have played in the cryptocurrency market at large. Interestingly, per data compiled by Diar, sourced from this industry’s foremost exchanges, Binance’s nearly-unquestioned hegemony over crypto may be at risk.

According to Diar, “Bitcoin trading volumes have taken a hit across major token exchanges over the course of 2018.” The research team, doing their best to portray this happenstance, noted that while Binance continues to dominate the crypto trading scene, its in-house BTC/USD(T) pair only accounts for 32% of the entire market’s total BTC/USDT volume. While this may seem like a hefty figure in and of itself, considering that this statistic for Binance peaked at 47% in June, the unprecedented growth of interest in altcoins through Binance may be worrying to Bitcoin’s diehard maximalists.

Binance isn’t alone in its inability to attract active Bitcoin traders. Hong Kong-based Bitfinex saw its BTC/USD market undergo an even worse popularity decline, with the pair now only amounting for 27% of the market’s aggregate BTC/USD volume, compared to 51% at the turn of 2017. This can likely be attributed to the platform’s uncanny ability to generate immense controversy in recent months, as seen by the Tether debacle and banking qualms.

Interestingly, “State-side” platforms, exchanges based in America, have “suffered” the largest losses in BTC/USD in recent months, with Bittrex and Polniex now only accounting for 2.7% of Bitcoin trading volumes.

There’s been one notable outlier in this case of ‘bear market blues’, with OkEX, widely lauded as Binance’s primary competitor, seeing its primary BTC market post a 6x market share gain since January.

Report: Crypto Market To Consist Of 66% Bitcoin in 2019

Although Diar’s report didn’t paint a positive picture for the short to mid-term prospects for Bitcoin’s hegemony over the cryptosphere, as it seems that traders are looking to altcoins yet again, a number of analysts from A.T. Kearney expect for BTC to continue to rule over altcoins with an iron fist, no holds barred.

Per reports from Forbes contributor Panos Mourdoukoutas, who has taken a liking to Bitcoin, A.T. Kearney, a multinational management consulting firm, reportedly issued a report specifically on Bitcoin’s market dominance statistic, which is currently situated at 55%. The corporation noted that it expects for the statistic to “nearly” reach two-thirds of the aggregate capitalization of cryptocurrencies. Citing reasons for this ~66% target, which isn’t out of the realm of possibility, the American firm purportedly stated that altcoins have “lost their luster” due to growing risk aversion tactics enlisted by retail investors.

Investors’ growing penchant for liquidating their altcoin positions for Bitcoin can potentially be chalked up to the U.S. SEC’s renewed crackdown on ICO-funded tokens. Just recently, the American financial regulator fined AirFox and Paragon, two lesser-known ICOs, in a precedent-setting case, instilling fear throughout the crypto investor base as a whole. As is common practice, if there aren’t enough rewards to justify the risk, investors won’t allocate capital to the asset class in question. This case with altcoins, a majority of which were parented by ICOs, is undoubtedly no different.

However, A.T. Kearney says this isn’t exactly the case, with the firm drawing attention to the ever-growing complexity of the nascent altcoin subset. Courtney Rickert McCaffrey at A.T. Kearney wrote:

“Our prediction is that Bitcoin will regain its dominance is supported by the ever-growing complexity among altcoins, most recently demonstrated by the ‘hash war’ that occurred in the Bitcoin Cash ecosystem.”

Although this isn’t a well-documented issue, a number of crypto-centric consumers took to Twitter during Bitcoin Cash’s hard fork to express how confusing the whole fracas was. This, of course, only legitimizes the aforementioned firm’s report, albeit only be a smidgen.

Title Image Courtesy of Andre Francois Via Unsplash

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Altcoin Daily Preview: Tron (TRX) Could Bounce back, CoinBase Prospects Bullish for Stellar Lumens

TRX/USD (Tron)

Latest Tron News

Straight from the announcement of the Tron Accelerator, the launch of Tron Developer Suite and the apparent meltdown of crypto prices, Justin Sun, the co-founder of the platform is now urging developers to migrate from EOS and Ethereum platforms.

Read: Tron (TRX) Announces Accelerator Plan For DApp Creation With $1 Million in Prizes

Through a fund that Sun says will “rescue” these developers from imminent “collapse” of their respective platforms, dApp creators would get a boost only if they migrate their work to the Tron Platform.

This is not the first time Sun is throwing sublime jabs at EOS and Ethereum. He has on several occasion been tussling with Ethereum’s Vitalik Buterin who at one time said Tron plagiarized part of its white paper from Filecoin.

TRX/USD Price Analysis

From left to right, prices are negatively sloping meaning the path of least resistance is southwards. But this has been the trend in the last 11 months or so and after tumbling >85 percent, we expect TRX to find support.

At the moment, prices are edging higher in line with Nov 28 bulls and though consolidating within a tight 0.5 cents range, we expect buyers to print higher by the end of the week. The only time we expect bulls is when TRX/USD thrust above our resistance at 1.5 cents–$1.7 cents zone.

Fitting stops will be at 1.4 cents with first targets at 2 cents. Losses below 1.2 cents and 1.3 cents invalidate this plan.

Our TRX/USD trade plan will therefore be as follows:

Buy: Break and close above 1.5 cents

Stops: 1.4 cents

Target: 2 cents

XLM/USD (Stellar Lumens)

Latest Stellar Lumens News

As reported by EWNs, CoinBase—the US based crypto exchange platform has once more announced that it will be exploring 31 digital assets including Stellar Lumens (XLM).

Also Read: CoinBase Pro Lists the ERC20 Tokens of Civic (CVC), DNT, LOOM, and Decentraland (MANA)

This being the second time, the community is pretty excited about the news and could be pointers of what’s to come especially if CoinBase deviates from listing a high supply, low cost pre-mined coin.

Listing on XLM could be attractive for users who would want to diversify waiting for price appreciation now that Stellar has a working relationship with IBM. IBM’s mainframes are still in use by 92 out of 100 global banks and as they have been in service for more than 50 years, an alternative proposed by IBM could easily be adopted even if it means leveraging on the Stellar platform.

XLM/USD Price Analysis

XLM/USD Price Analysis

Stellar Lumens (XLM) is perched at fourth and quite stable in the last few hours. Though XLM is printing higher against the USD, bears are in control. From candlestick arrangement, we expect XLM to print higher and even close above 13 cents triggering short term bulls aiming at 17 cents.

However, since XLM/USD is trending within a bear breakout pattern and prices are below 15 cents, we cannot discount the possibility of sellers stepping up, driving prices below our support zone. If this print out then our XLM/USD will be nullified.

Nevertheless, our short-term XLM/USD trade plan will be as follows:

Buy: 13 cents—Above Dec 9 highs

Stops: 11 cents

First Target: 17 cents

All Charts Courtesy of Trading View.

This is not Investment Advice. Do your Own Research.

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD Accumulating as VanEck Subsidiary Work on “Transparency”

Latest Bitcoin News

Of course, price is not the only metric of interest as far as Bitcoin is concerned. Adoption rate and infrastructure development is of interest. Though the coin is meant to by-pass third parties as regulators, we cannot discount the role of regulators and their constant talk of investor protection.

Other jurisdictions might be open but the community is closely watching if the US SEC shall proceed and approve the much-anticipated Bitcoin ETF come Feb 27, 2019. That’s two and a half months from now and before then, bears seem to have an upper hand especially when we take a top-down approach.

Read: BTCC Co-Founder Lee Hints At $333,000 Bitcoin (BTC) Prediction For 2021

From the look of things, we can only guess the route that SEC might take and considering more banks are showing their interest in the space, we can only speculate that they might just give the VanEck Bitcoin ETF a pass.

Earlier, the SEC cited transparency saying the market was prone for manipulations and various stakeholders are now working on ensuring complete openness. A few days ago, a Frankfurt based company with relations to VanEck did launch MVIS Bitcoin US OTC Spot Index (MVBTCO).

Also Read: Bitcoin Price Prediction Gone Wrong: $1M Options Call To Be Purged

The index core objective is to promote transparency and to that end it draws its price feeds from Cumberland, Circle Trade and Genesis Trading. Most of the time institutions trade through liquid OTC firms and this index is a reliable benchmark for their investment.

BTC/USD Price Analysis

BTC/USD Price Analysis

There are hints of BTC demand in lower time frames and in the last day, BTC/USD is up 1.7 percent. This is modest to say the least and that means bears are still in control. On a weekly basis, BTC/USD is down 15 percent but considering events of the last few days, bears appear to be slowing down and range bound in lower time frames. Clear floors are at $3280.

Trend: Bearish, Momentum Fading

Aside from the negative sloping trend line connecting highs of the last few weeks, losses of the last few weeks are a reliable indicator of trend. But, even as bears threaten to drive prices lower, BTC demand is increasing in lower time frames. In the 4HR chart, prices are ranging within a tight $500 range with clear resistance and support at $3,800 and $3,280.

Volumes: Bullish, Increasing

What we have in this time frames are a series of higher highs with floors at $3,280 as BTC/USD range horizontally. Unless otherwise there are gains above $3,800 resistance, bears are in control but we are rooting for bulls thanks to standout bull bars of the last two days. Dec 7–22k versus 11k average by 1900 HRs, Dec 8—17k versus 8k 2300 HRs bar and Dec 9—7k versus 5k average bull bars are of interest as far as BTC/USD price analysis is concerned.  Notice that even from an effort versus result point of view, prices are still trending inside Dec 8 bull bar. For buyers to be in charge, then bulls must thrust prices above $3,810. Thereafter in a bull breakout trade, traders can buy on dips or at spot with first targets at $4,500 with stops at Dec 9 lows at around $3,500.

Candlestick Formation: Breakout Trade, Range

Clearly, BTC/USD is within a bear breakout trade but ranging as aforementioned. But, for bulls to be in charge then we must see high volumes gains printing above Nov lows of $3,800. This move will invalidate the bear breakout pattern of Dec 6. However, if prices fail to recover printing below Dec 9 lows then we shall have a retest and odds are BTC might test $3,280—or lower by the end of the week.

Conclusion

From candlestick arrangement, bulls might recover above $3,800. As such, our BTC/USD trade plan will be as follows:

Buy Trigger: $3,800—Dec 8 Highs

Stops: $3,500—Dec 9 Lows

First Targets: $4,500

All Charts courtesy of Trading View.

This is not Investment Advice. Do you own Research.

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Bitcoin (BTC) At $3,400: Crypto Analyst Looks To “Cockroach” News

Crypto Rebounds (Slightly), Bitcoin (BTC) Still Under $3,500 

To say that crypto’s past 24 hours have been chaotic would, frankly, be putting it rather lightly. While Bitcoin (BTC) recently underwent a slight recovery to move above $3,400, the past day has seen the aggregate value of all cryptocurrencies range between $100 billion and $115 billion. The $100 billion figure, seen for a few fleeting minutes on Friday, has been lauded as a “make or break” level for this nascent industry at large.

This tumult, which is undoubtedly a worrying sight for crypto’s bulls, was backed by a jaw-dropping $20 billion ($10 billion adjusted) in 24-hour volumes, which comes directly after a relatively measly $14 billion Thursday. Interestingly, Friday’s action was backed by the highest daily volume in December so far. 

Now, as always, let’s talk about BTC, the asset that dictates crypto’s day-to-day.

After yesterday’s Ethereum World News market update, BTC continued to falter, somehow reaching $3,300, a new year-to-date low. But, after this foreboding candle, the asset found a semblance of support, finding itself trading around $3,300 for a matter of hours. And eventually, in classic cryptocurrency fashion, bitcoin shot up, just as fast it came down, moving to $3,500 in a few minutes.

While the digital asset, often deemed the world’s next “store of value,” stumbled after the move, colloquially dubbed call a “Bart” after the Simpsons character, BTC has now found itself above $3,400, a seeming short-term support level. At the time of writing, BTC is valued at $3,450 a pop, posting a gain of 1.5% in the past 24 hours.

This move in Bitcoin catalyzed a number of intriguing action in altcoin markets. Stablecoins, for instance, quickly saw an influx of buying pressure, as traders sought solace amid a seemingly endless market downtrend. As noted by CoinDesk’s market analysis team, four Tether (USDT) competitors, TrueUSD, USD Coin, and the Paxos Standard, all entered the crypto Top 30, finding themselves around a ~$190 market capitalization.

Interestingly, altcoins underwent a stronger recovery than BTC. Ethereum (ETH), after falling under $100 to $84, has now recovered to $96, posting a 9.5% daily gain. EOS, Tron (TRX), NEM (XEM), and Monero (XMR) posted similar results, causing the Bitcoin market dominance figure to fall to 54%.

Crypto Analyst Attributes Sell-off To Cockroach-like News Cycle 

Although BTC bounced by 5% off its lows, an analyst still painted a bearish picture for cryptocurrency markets. Issuing a note to MarketWatch’s Aaron Hankin, Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at Think Markets U.K., explained that BTC, with current momentum and technical indicators in mind, is “crippled” as could fall below $2,000 to $1,500 in due time.

Citing reasons for this bearish prediction, Aslam drew attention to the “bad news” cycle seen in the crypto industry, adding that such negative developments are “coming just like cockroaches out of a hole.” One such development may be the SEC’s recent verdict regarding the foremost Bitcoin ETF application.

As reported by Ethereum World News previously, the SEC delayed its decision on the VanEck-backed application for the umpteenth time, and in the midst of a crypto bear market no less. In an SEC-stamped document published Thursday afternoon, the governmental agency claimed that it would be exercising its right to delay a verdict on the application until February 27, 2019.

Although the release of this document didn’t directly produce any red candles, such a decision likely instilled some semblance of fear in naive investors. Speaking with Bloomberg on the impact of negative industry developments, Timothy Tam, CEO of CoinFi, stated:

“Sentiment in the [crypto] market is really bad, any negative news has an exponential effect.”

Regardless, the Think Markets representative still noted that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, in general, have ground-breaking potential, echoing calls he made on CoinTelegraph TV. He stated:

This is a crypto market which has the ability to blow your mind and the downside is limited and the price at its current level represents an opportunity of a lifetime.

Title Image Courtesy of Hektor Ehring Jeppesen via Flickr and Bitcongress

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Cardano Price Analysis: ADA/USD Register New 2018 Lows, Floors not Visible

Latest Cardano News

Aside from developing this peer-reviewed smart contracting platform, Cardano is all about the community. Participants are “amazingly diverse and vibrant”. We saw Charles Hoskinson and Ken Kodama open letter and how they needed the community to rally behind their effort to rid the chairman of the Cardano Foundation whom they accuse of incompetence and attempts to coalesce power.

Part of Cardano’s guiding principles include “the growth of the community and its needs”. Now, as they work towards Voltaire, they are also diligent taking every step with caution and even including third parties to hold IOHK accountable assuming there are flaws that end up hurting users.

Read: 2 Reasons Cardano (ADA) Could Be Listed on CoinBase Before Stellar (XLM)

Patience, diligence and commitment to quality are the hallmarks of Cardano and this is rightfully so especially when we recognize that a financial operating system and a multi-layered protocol is being built. It demands exceptional attention to detail to every line of code and this monumental task is heaped on IOHK which aside from guiding this project also has other activities to deal with.

As a result of this and the realization that Cardano isn’t lacking in engineering resources but the fact that they are researching and at the same time building the protocol which is difficult. Because of this postponement of Project Shelly’s Q1 deadline is almost inevitable.

ADA/USD Price Analysis

ADA/USD Price Analysis

At spot prices, ADA is down 15 percent and 30 percent in the last day and week but still hanging on at 10th. At this rate, prices are not only trending at new 2018 lows but are confirming the bear breakout pattern of early August. We expect this draw down to continue as long as BTC prices dump and deadlines extended.

Trend: Bearish

Everything else constant, ADA has been on a free fall after breaching the 6 cents previous main support and now resistance. Unless otherwise, this trend should continue and ADA could slip below 1 cent before year’s close.

Volumes: Bearish, increasing

Of interest in our analysis are Nov 28 bull bar—218 million versus 140 million and Nov 4—131 million versus 127 million, Nov 5—144 million versus 123 million and Nov 6—165 million versus 127 million. Notice that, the trend is clear, the last three bars have increasing volumes but the deviation from average is not that wide.

In the meantime, Nov 28  high trade volumes didn’t stop sellers from marching forward, reversing earlier gains. At spot rates, ADA/USD is trading below Nov 2018 lows accompanied by high trade volumes. This is bearish and we expect prices to trend lower unless of course there are surges above 3.3 cents erasing these losses.

Candlestick Formation: Bear Breakout

Following drops of Nov 19, ADA sellers drove prices below important support level completing the bear breakout pattern set rolling in early August. The drop has been near perpendicular and as long as prices trend below 1.5 cents, bears are in control.

Conclusion

11 months later and sellers are not slowing down partly because of BTC price declines. We expect losses to continue and as ADA/USD trade below 3.3 cents, the bear breakout pattern of Nov 19 is valid and sellers are in control. Floors are not yet visible and we shall recommend buying once proper bull reversal signals print perhaps driving prices above Nov 2018 lows and even 4.5 cents.

All charts courtesy of trading view

This is not Investment Advice. Do your own Research.

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